| Topic
Title |
Topic Chair / Rapporteur |
Report |
Presentation |
Cover
Page |
|
|
Foreword |
|
|
Table
of Contents |
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|
| |
|
| Topic 0: |
Special Theme: Quantitative Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Landfall
in relation to an Effective Warning system |
|
|
| Report of Topic
Chair |
Jim Davidson
(Australia) |
|
|
| 0.1 |
Track forecasts |
Lixion Avila
(USA)
|
|
|
| 0.2 |
Observations and forecasts of wind distribution |
Sai Tick Chan
(Hong Kong, China)
|
|
|
| 0.3 |
Observations and forecasts of rainfall distribution |
Lianshou Chen
(China)
|
|
yet to be
provided |
| 0.4 |
Observations and forecasts of storm surges |
Shishir Dube
(India)
|
|
presented by
Bruce Harper (Australia) |
| 0.5 |
Observations and forecasts of hydrology-related issues |
Kang Thean Shong
(Malaysia)
|
|
presented by
Regina Cabarez
(USA) |
| |
|
|
|
| Topic
1: |
Tropical cyclone
structure and structure change |
|
|
| Report of Topic
Chair |
Hugh Willoughby
(USA)
|
|
presented by
Jeff Kepert
(Australia) |
| 1.1 |
Environmental effects on tropical cyclone structure and Structure
Change |
Liz Ritchie
(USA)
|
|
|
| 1.2 |
Tropical cyclone Inner-core dynamics |
Jeffrey D. Kepert
(Australia)
|
|
|
| 1.3 |
Air-sea interface and oceanic influences |
Nick Shay
(USA)
|
|
|
| 1.4 |
Operational techniques in defining tropical cyclone structure |
Mark Lander
(USA)
|
|
|
| 1.5 |
Operational guidance and skill in forecasting structure change |
John Knaff
(USA)
|
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| |
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|
|
| Special Focus Topics |
|
|
| 1a |
Tutorial on the use of satellite data to define tropical cyclone
structure |
Chris Velden
(USA)
|
|
|
| 1b |
Field experiments related to tropical cyclone structure (CBLAST
& RAINEX) |
Peter Black &
Shuyi Chen
(USA)
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| Topic 2: |
Tropical cyclone
formation and extratropical transition |
|
|
| Report of Topic
Chair |
Pat Harr
(USA)
|
|
|
| 2.1 |
External influences on formation |
Bill Frank
(USA)
|
|
|
| 2.2 |
Internal influences on tropical cyclone formation |
Mike Montgomer
(USA)
|
|
presented by
Kevin Tory
(Australia) |
| 2.3 |
Operational forecasting of tropical cyclone formation |
Jeff Callaghan
(Australia)
|
|
|
| 2.4 |
Observing and forecasting of extratropical transition |
Jenni Evans
(USA)
|
|
|
| 2.5 |
Physical processes and downstream impacts of extratropical transition |
John Gyakum
(Canada)
|
|
presented by
Pat Harr
(USA) |
| |
|
|
|
| Special Focus Topics |
|
|
| 2a |
The Catarina phenomenon |
Pedro Silva Dias
(Brazil)
|
|
|
| 2b |
Special Focus Session THORPEX: a focus on tropical cyclone related
research |
Jim Abraham
(Canada)
|
|
presented by
Pat Harr
(USA) |
| |
|
|
|
| Topic 3: |
Tropical cyclone motion |
|
|
| Report of Topic
Chair |
Russ Elsberry
(USA)
|
|
|
| 3.1 |
Advances and requirements for operational track prediction |
Tsz-cheung LEE
(Hong Kong, China)
|
|
|
| 3.2 |
Improvements in understanding and prediction of tropical cyclone
motion |
Sim Aberson
(USA)
|
|
|
| 3.3 |
Targeted observation and data assimilation in track prediction |
Chun-Chieh Wu
(PSA)
|
|
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| |
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| Special Focus Topics |
|
|
| 3a |
Sharing experiences in operational consensus forecasting |
Andrew Burton
(Australia)
|
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| |
|
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|
| Topic 4:
|
Climate variability and seasonal
prediction of tropical cyclone activity/intensity |
|
|
| Report of Topic Chair |
Chris Landsea
(USA)
|
|
|
| 4.0 |
The recent active Atlantic hurricane seasons |
Max Mayfield
(USA)
|
|
|
| 4.1 |
Variability of tropical cyclone activity/intensity on intraseasonal
and interannual scales |
Chang-Hoi Ho
(Republic of Korea)
|
|
presented by
Jo-Hong Kim
(Korea) |
| 4.2 |
Possible relationships between climate change and tropical cyclone
activity |
Tom Knutson
(USA)
|
|
|
| 4.3 |
Short-term climate (seasonal and intraseasonal) predictions of tropical
cyclone activity/intensity |
Suzana Camargo
(USA)
|
|
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| |
|
|
|
| Special Focus Topics |
|
|
| 4a |
Updated statement on the possible effects of climate change on tropical
cyclone activity/intensity |
John McBride
(Australia)
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| Topic 5: |
Disaster mitigation, warning
systems and societal impact |
|
|
| Report of Topic Chair |
M C Wong
(Hong Kong, China)
|
|
presented by
TC Lee
(HK) |
|
5.1 |
Evaluating the effectiveness of warning systems |
Woo-Jin Lee
(Republic of Korea)
|
|
|
| 5.2 |
Factors contributing to human and economic losses |
Roger Pielke Jr.
(USA)
|
|
presented by
Joel Gratz
(USA) |
| 5.3 |
Mitigation strategies and community capacity building for disaster
reduction |
Linda Anderson-Berry
(Australia)
|
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| |
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|
| Special Focus Topic |
|
|
| 5a |
Report to the IWTC-VI on the PROGRAM FOR IMPROVEMENTS TO HURRICANE
INTENSITY FORECASTS AND IMPACTS PROJECTIONS (HiFi) |
Greg Holland & Roger Lukas
(USA)
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